Watchlist / food-security

watchlist

Watchlist / food-security

current roster plus event stream

symbols 11 events 264 latest

Food security — geopolitical energy shock cascade play. Fertilizer (NTR Nutrien, MOS Mosaic, CF Industries), farm equipment (DE Deere), grain trading (ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland, BG Bunge Global — added 2026-05-10, $24B mcap soybean/softseed/grain processing + biodiesel, peer to ADM in oilseed crush; -6.7% from 52wk high $133.93), crop protection/seeds (CTVA Corteva, FMC). Sourced from Revan's Food Security Trade conviction doc. Child thesis of Iran War perspective.

Showing 120 of 264 events.

Cumulative return since Oct 1 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -0.1%-3.2%-13.0%-11.7%+2.8%
SPY -1.2%-1.0%-1.2%+3.5%+14.4%
Δ +1.1%-2.2%-11.7%-15.2%-11.6%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 0/11 up

trend: 0 up · 2 flat · 9 down · avg RSI 40 · 44% above SMA200 · covered 11/11

contributors

CF-0.2pp-1.7%
DBA-0.2pp-2.2%
ADM-0.3pp-3.0%
MOO-0.4pp-3.9%
BG-0.6pp-6.2%

detractors

FMC-4.8pp-52.5%
MOS-2.7pp-30.2%
DE-0.8pp-8.5%
NTR-0.8pp-8.4%

Holdings

NTR $69.09 -8.4% 30d coming into play MOS $17.27 -30.2% 30d retreating CF $118.56 -1.7% 30d coming into play DE $643.62 -8.5% 30d coming into play ADM $79.84 -3.0% 30d coming into play BG $103.15 -6.2% 30d coming into play CTVA $12.86 n/a 30d too-young FMC $5.02 -52.5% 30d retreating DBA $27.92 -2.2% 30d coming into play MOO $81.26 -3.9% 30d coming into play VYLR $71.12 n/a 30d too-young
CF $118.56 +1.9% -1.7% -6.4% +38.0% 49 coming into play -16.5%
DBA $27.92 -0.7% -2.2% -1.1% +3.6% 37 coming into play -5.4%
ADM $79.84 +0.6% -3.0% -7.5% +29.0% 43 coming into play -10.0%
MOO $81.26 -0.1% -3.9% -1.6% +11.1% 42 coming into play -9.0%
BG $103.15 +0.9% -6.2% -15.7% +8.0% 39 coming into play -23.5%
NTR $69.09 +1.4% -8.4% +0.8% +21.6% 43 coming into play -19.1%
DE $643.62 +1.1% -8.5% +5.5% +39.2% 46 coming into play -10.8%
MOS $17.27 -2.3% -30.2% -22.5% -41.8% 20 retreating -46.5%
FMC $5.02 -0.2% -52.5% -57.1% -83.1% 15 retreating -83.8%
CTVA $12.86 +1.1% — — — 53 neutral —
VYLR $71.12 -4.9% — — — 56 neutral -8.1%

Feed generated 2026-10-23.