Watchlist / optical-supply-chain
Watchlist / optical-supply-chain
current roster plus event stream
Optical/photonics supply chain — AI optical supercycle plays. Laser sources (LITE, COHR), optical networking (CIEN), silicon photonics (ALAB, SMTC), foundry (TSEM), next-gen modulators (LWLG, SIVEF/Sivers Semiconductors OTC, NGKIF/5333.T TFLN substrates), RF/optical components (MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions — corrected from MACOM ticker 2026-05-04, VIAV), fiber/connectors (GLW, FN, CLS), assembly (JBL — Intel SiPh IP, potential Innolight analog), photomasks (PLAB), process control (ONTO), wafer test probes (FORM FormFactor — surfaced via @aleabitoreddit photonics scorecard), compound semi (AXTI, IQEPF/IQE plc OTC), engineered germanium alternatives (LPTH — China export-control hedge), optical transceivers for hyperscalers (AAOI Applied Optoelectronics — surfaced 2026-05-05 via @RealJGBanks photonics-rotation tweet; one of few legit photonics names from that basket-list source), SOI wafers (SOI.PA/Soitec), memory/NAND (SNDK/SanDisk), MBE epitaxy equipment for QD lasers + quantum (ALRIB.PA/Riber — surfaced via @aleabitoreddit, Microsoft Quantum catalyst), photonic ICs (POET Technologies — surfaced 2026-04-28 via Reddit intake, Optical Interposer platform for AI/datacomm), QD laser…
Showing 120 of 559 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | -10.0% | -12.9% | -26.3% | -24.4% | +135.1% |
| SPY | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.5% | +14.4% |
| Δ | -8.8% | -11.9% | -25.1% | -27.9% | +120.7% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 0 up · 1 flat · 27 down · avg RSI 32 · 15% above SMA200 · covered 28/28
Holdings
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
Convequity — Lumentum's laser demand rides on CPO design choices that are still open
Convequity — Lumentum's laser demand rides on CPO design choices that are still open
Serenity — Lumentum's CEO says the company can supply only 30% of 2027 demand as co-packaged optics arrive
Serenity — Lumentum's CEO says the company can supply only 30% of 2027 demand as co-packaged optics arrive
Serenity — Morgan Stanley hears 3.2T Chinese transceiver curbs are coming, with a 65% US-content escape hatch
Serenity — Morgan Stanley hears 3.2T Chinese transceiver curbs are coming, with a 65% US-content escape hatch
Bloomberg — SK Hynix weighs a 2027 US listing for its Solidigm flash unit
Bloomberg — SK Hynix weighs a 2027 US listing for its Solidigm flash unit
Feed generated 2026-10-23.