Watchlist / semis
Watchlist / semis
current roster plus event stream
Semiconductors - GPUs (NVDA, AMD), foundry (TSM), networking chips (AVGO, MRVL), architecture (ARM), mobile (QCOM), equipment (ASML, AMAT), packaging (AMKR), analog/power (ON), programmable-logic (LSCC - added 2026-05-20 R20 13F-orphan placement; Druckenmiller active Q1 position)
Showing 120 of 993 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | -6.5% | -6.8% | -15.8% | -11.6% | +68.6% |
| SPY | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.5% | +14.4% |
| Δ | -5.4% | -5.8% | -14.6% | -15.1% | +54.2% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 2 up · 0 flat · 16 down · avg RSI 37 · 56% above SMA200 · covered 18/18
Holdings
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
Serenity — Morgan Stanley hears 3.2T Chinese transceiver curbs are coming, with a 65% US-content escape hatch
Serenity — Morgan Stanley hears 3.2T Chinese transceiver curbs are coming, with a 65% US-content escape hatch
Feed generated 2026-10-23.