Watchlist / thebuildout-china-ai-semiconductor-stack
Watchlist / thebuildout-china-ai-semiconductor-stack
current roster plus event stream
TheBuildout · China AI Semiconductor Stack — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/china-ai-semiconductor-stack), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of the free-tier visible head: 14 of 43 visible / 75 total (32 pro-gated; 29 foreign primaries without a US line omitted — see experiments/gloomberg/thebuildout-lists-vs-watchlists.md). Membership and 'aiCriticality' tags are theirs; refresh via deno task market -- scrape-thebuildout --lists.
Showing 120 of 877 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | -6.6% | -9.0% | -16.1% | -14.5% | +58.2% |
| SPY | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.5% | +14.4% |
| Δ | -5.5% | -8.0% | -14.9% | -18.0% | +43.8% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 0 up · 1 flat · 13 down · avg RSI 33 · 31% above SMA200 · covered 14/14
Holdings
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
Paradis — Micron's Q4 deck: 26 strategic customer agreements and $32B in commitments, mostly cash deposits
Paradis — Micron's Q4 deck: 26 strategic customer agreements and $32B in commitments, mostly cash deposits
Feed generated 2026-10-23.