Watchlist / thebuildout-custom-ai-silicon-hyperscaler-asics
Watchlist / thebuildout-custom-ai-silicon-hyperscaler-asics
current roster plus event stream
TheBuildout · Custom AI Silicon & Hyperscaler ASICs — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/custom-ai-silicon-hyperscaler-asics), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of the free-tier visible head: 25 of 35 visible / 77 total (42 pro-gated; 10 foreign primaries without a US line omitted — see experiments/gloomberg/thebuildout-lists-vs-watchlists.md). Membership and 'aiCriticality' tags are theirs; refresh via deno task market -- scrape-thebuildout --lists.
Showing 120 of 1074 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | -7.2% | -9.3% | -17.1% | -10.5% | +63.0% |
| SPY | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.5% | +14.4% |
| Δ | -6.0% | -8.3% | -15.8% | -14.0% | +48.6% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 1 up · 2 flat · 19 down · avg RSI 35 · 40% above SMA200 · covered 22/22
Holdings
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
KawzInvests — Anthropic's compute bill fell to about 55 cents per revenue dollar, but $450B of mostly non-cancelable cloud deals need $82–116B a year in sales
KawzInvests — Anthropic's compute bill fell to about 55 cents per revenue dollar, but $450B of mostly non-cancelable cloud deals need $82–116B a year in sales
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Semafor - AI infrastructure debt costs soar: Oracle's debt rated just above junk, Microsoft's AAA protection up 25%
Semafor - AI infrastructure debt costs soar: Oracle's debt rated just above junk, Microsoft's AAA protection up 25%
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
SemiAnalysis — ASML is building a hybrid bonding tool
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
dylan (@demian_ai) — ASML's long-term contract liabilities jumped almost €6B in a quarter: demand with money attached
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
Satya Nadella — Maia becomes Microsoft's primary inference system at multi-gigawatt scale starting next calendar year
Satya Nadella — Maia becomes Microsoft's primary inference system at multi-gigawatt scale starting next calendar year
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
Feed generated 2026-10-23.