Watchlist / trace-iran-war-second-and-third-order-effects

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Watchlist / trace-iran-war-second-and-third-order-effects

current roster plus event stream

symbols 7 events 136 latest

Second- and third-order Iran-war exposures across shipping, insurance, pharmaceutical inputs, rare earths, and fertilizer. Research trace from 2026-04-12 with 1 unanimous and 3 strong-convergence findings.

Showing 120 of 136 events.

Cumulative return since Sep 21 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -0.5%-1.2%+3.0%+15.9%+72.5%
SPY -1.2%-1.0%-1.2%+3.5%+14.4%
Δ +0.7%-0.2%+4.2%+12.4%+58.1%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 6/7 up

trend: 5 up · 0 flat · 2 down · avg RSI 49 · 86% above SMA200 · covered 7/7

contributors

DHT+1.8pp+12.8%
ACGL+1.2pp+8.2%
FRO+1.0pp+6.9%
INSW+0.6pp+4.3%
TEVA+0.3pp+1.8%

detractors

ICL-1.8pp-12.8%
STNG+0.0pp+0.1%

Holdings

ICL $4.71 -12.8% 30d coming into play ACGL $102.69 +8.2% 30d coming into play TEVA $40.21 +1.8% 30d in trend STNG $82.44 +0.1% 30d in trend FRO $51.22 +6.9% 30d coming into play INSW $108.42 +4.3% 30d coming into play DHT $24.12 +12.8% 30d coming into play
DHT $24.12 -0.2% +12.8% +31.0% +96.9% 56 coming into play -10.4%
ACGL $102.69 +2.4% +8.2% +2.6% +16.9% 68 coming into play -4.1%
FRO $51.22 -0.1% +6.9% +37.5% +132.9% 50 coming into play -14.3%
INSW $108.42 -2.5% +4.3% +18.7% +133.0% 47 coming into play -14.1%
TEVA $40.21 -1.0% +1.8% +29.0% +112.0% 53 in trend -4.3%
STNG $82.44 -0.7% +0.1% +3.8% +41.1% 47 in trend -8.5%
ICL $4.71 -1.3% -12.8% -11.1% -25.0% 26 coming into play -32.4%

Feed generated 2026-10-23.