Watchlist / thebuildout-advanced-packaging-2d3d-leaders
Watchlist / thebuildout-advanced-packaging-2d3d-leaders
current roster plus event stream
TheBuildout · Advanced Packaging (2.5D/3D) Leaders — their curated supply-chain list (https://thebuildout.ai/lists/advanced-packaging-2d3d-leaders), imported 2026-08-19 as a brand-tagged watchlist. Our slice = US-listed/ADR lines of the free-tier visible head: 32 of 54 visible / 114 total (60 pro-gated; 22 foreign primaries without a US line omitted — see experiments/gloomberg/thebuildout-lists-vs-watchlists.md). Membership and 'aiCriticality' tags are theirs; refresh via deno task market -- scrape-thebuildout --lists.
Showing 120 of 1058 events.
| 1D | 7D | 30D | 3M | 1Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cohort | -7.1% | -8.1% | -15.6% | -14.0% | +65.3% |
| SPY | -1.2% | -1.0% | -1.2% | +3.5% | +14.4% |
| Δ | -5.9% | -7.1% | -14.3% | -17.5% | +50.9% |
equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.
trend: 2 up · 1 flat · 24 down · avg RSI 36 · 35% above SMA200 · covered 27/27
Holdings
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
KawzInvests — IDC: Q3 smartphone shipments fell 22%, the worst on record, as memory costs rose about 350%
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
dylan (@demian_ai) — Nvidia's GTC Berlin supplier release puts dates on packaging, test and substrate ramps, and the orders move a year ahead of capacity
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Markos - Neocloud systemic risk is the B/C-tier wave borrowing against weak contracts, not the big names
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Serenity - KeyBanc checks: Google discussing memory supply agreements through 2035, Samsung 70% allocated through 2031
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
Photon Capital - TSMC 3Q26: revenue +41% YoY, 4Q guide about +14% QoQ, capital spending held at $60-64B, N2 capacity to double in 2027
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
SemiAnalysis - Neoclouds refused GTC Berlin access after adding AMD GPUs and TPUs
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
Zephyr — the physics of SK Hynix's HBM4 problem: halving the die gap cuts underfill flow 8x
dylan — AI's silicon interposers are pulling in the older fabs that make power and analog chips
dylan — AI's silicon interposers are pulling in the older fabs that make power and analog chips
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
KawzInvests — Celestica's OCP data: transceiver qualification windows shrink to 18 months while GPUs refresh every 12
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
Serenity — Asian coverage of Hock Tan's DBS remarks has him defending OpenAI, not calling AI a casino
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
SemiAnalysis — HBM de-specs to bandwidth; hybrid bonding goes from when to if
Feed generated 2026-10-23.