Watchlist / war-sensitivity

watchlist

Watchlist / war-sensitivity

current roster plus event stream

symbols 24 events 1280 latest

War-sensitivity watchlist — stocks ranked by their reaction to ceasefire fake-outs (TACO trades). Tier 1 fast movers: COPX/JETS/UAE (5-9% pops). Tier 2 hidden oil-sensitive: W/RH/ATZ/AS (heavy-goods shipping costs). Tier 3 quality laggards: AMZN/HOOD/MSFT (barely moved = most upside on real resolution). USO/ITB/INDA as benchmarks. Source: Dumb Money Live 2026-03-24 fake-out analysis.

Showing 120 of 1280 events.

Cumulative return since Sep 22 — both lines start at 0%, so the gap between them IS the out/under-performance. Hover for daily values.
1D7D30D3M1Y
cohort -0.4%-0.3%-0.3%+15.5%+255.2%
SPY -1.2%-1.0%-1.2%+3.5%+14.4%
Δ +0.8%+0.8%+0.9%+12.0%+240.8%

equal-weight · buy-and-hold from window start, no rebalancing · 3M+ windows are a current-roster backcast.

30D breadth 12/24 up

trend: 12 up · 0 flat · 12 down · avg RSI 50 · 50% above SMA200 · covered 24/24

contributors

BWET+1.3pp+31.4%
CCL+0.9pp+21.5%
ATZ.TO+0.8pp+20.1%
USO+0.5pp+12.8%
RH+0.3pp+7.3%

detractors

HOOD-0.9pp-22.3%
BE-0.9pp-21.3%
BDRY-0.8pp-20.0%
SMCI-0.8pp-18.8%
COPX-0.8pp-18.7%

Holdings

COPX $73.13 -18.7% 30d coming into play JETS $26.77 -8.1% 30d coming into play UAE $19.27 -4.6% 30d coming into play W $113.49 +5.7% 30d in trend RH $140.15 +7.3% 30d retreating ATZ.TO $150.50 +20.1% 30d coming into play AS $28.98 +4.8% 30d retreating NKE $38.32 +6.2% 30d retreating GAP $22.91 +6.8% 30d retreating CCL $27.08 +21.5% 30d retreating AAL $12.60 -7.4% 30d retreating DAL $79.26 -5.5% 30d coming into play AMZN $250.38 -1.8% 30d in trend HOOD $96.58 -22.3% 30d coming into play MSFT $521.08 +4.6% 30d in trend USO $162.51 +12.8% 30d in trend ITB $91.24 +0.2% 30d retreating INDA $47.36 -1.9% 30d coming into play BE $217.77 -21.3% 30d coming into play SMCI $33.72 -18.8% 30d retreating BWET $895.91 +31.4% 30d coming into play BDRY $12.45 -20.0% 30d coming into play SEA $20.62 +3.0% 30d in trend BOAT $51.01 -1.7% 30d in trend
BWET $895.91 +12.0% +31.4% +261.6% +5680.1% 57 coming into play -14.8%
CCL $27.08 -0.8% +21.5% +7.2% -9.7% 63 retreating -20.4%
ATZ.TO $150.50 -2.2% +20.1% +13.3% +63.8% 68 coming into play -13.8%
USO $162.51 +1.7% +12.8% +16.5% +130.1% 66 in trend -0.8%
RH $140.15 +9.5% +7.3% -15.6% -21.6% 65 retreating -41.5%
GAP $22.91 +1.0% +6.8% +21.4% +5.7% 53 retreating -22.0%
NKE $38.32 +2.1% +6.2% -6.5% -44.5% 64 retreating -45.6%
W $113.49 +0.2% +5.7% +37.3% +39.2% 63 in trend -5.4%
AS $28.98 -2.0% +4.8% -13.0% -6.7% 51 retreating -32.2%
MSFT $521.08 -2.2% +4.6% +36.6% +0.1% 51 in trend -5.9%
SEA $20.62 -1.0% +3.0% +14.1% +44.9% 50 in trend -6.1%
ITB $91.24 +5.4% +0.2% -3.5% -12.1% 59 retreating -20.8%
BOAT $51.01 -2.3% -1.7% +18.5% +67.5% 45 in trend -8.1%
AMZN $250.38 -4.6% -1.8% +7.2% +14.9% 45 in trend -12.8%
INDA $47.36 +0.2% -1.9% -0.6% -14.3% 49 coming into play -14.7%
UAE $19.27 -2.3% -4.6% +2.1% -2.1% 39 coming into play -13.6%
DAL $79.26 +2.0% -5.5% -3.3% +32.1% 48 coming into play -17.2%
AAL $12.60 +2.9% -7.4% -7.1% +4.2% 48 retreating -32.9%
JETS $26.77 +1.4% -8.1% -8.7% +6.3% 44 coming into play -21.4%
COPX $73.13 -6.3% -18.7% -6.7% +23.9% 26 coming into play -26.9%
SMCI $33.72 -5.2% -18.8% +8.1% -35.8% 40 retreating -38.2%
BDRY $12.45 -4.2% -20.0% -1.8% +51.3% 35 coming into play -25.5%
BE $217.77 -8.7% -21.3% +0.2% +130.8% 39 coming into play -38.0%
HOOD $96.58 -5.3% -22.3% -4.9% -24.1% 38 coming into play -35.8%

Feed generated 2026-10-23.